President Muhammadu Buhari’s apparent refusal to sign the amended Electoral Act has shifted political dynamics within the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP.
Without the president’s signature, the act stipulates that only 811 people, including the president, serving and former governors, and serving and former members of the National Assembly, will be able to elect the PDP’s Presidential Candidate.
The 811 participants 774 national delegates (1 per LGA) and 37 special delegates would make up the 811 delegation (People with disability from each of the 36 states and FCT).
The development had the effect of reshaping permutations for the party’s presidential candidates over the weekend, with Senator Bukola Saraki, Governors Nyesom Wike and Aminu Tambuwal benefiting. It was unclear yesterday how the permutation would affect Atiku Abubakar of the Northeast.
While Saraki has been boosted by the endorsement of the North-Central zone of the PDP, Wike even though without an endorsement from the South-South, is, however, without a serious contender from the region and would be gladdened by the fact that he has a fewer number of delegates within and outside the zone to reach out to.
Tambuwal would also be gladdened by the fact that the Northwest Zone would presenting the highest number of delegates to the convention given the region’s superior number of local governments. Tambuwal’s room for manoeuvre, is however, tempered by incursions made into the zone by Wike and Saraki.
The Northwest has 186 National Delegates more than double the 95 coming from the Southeast, a region that has three major presidential aspirants, Peter Obi, Anyim Pius Anyim and entrepreneur, Pharm Sam Ohabunwa.
The development means strong consequences for the Southeast as the limited number of the national delegates available from the zone is now being split among themselves and others poaching from outside.
While Atiku looked formidable on the national scene, being the immediate past presidential candidate of the party, he has to grapple with Governor Bala Mohammed of Bauchi for the Northeast’s 112 national delegates.
Atiku is also being challenged by the fact that no governor is openly associating with him besides his home governor, Ahmadu Fintri who according to political insiders sees it as an obligation or rather compulsion to support the former vice-president.
While the stalemate on the Electoral Act is like a catastrophe for the Southeast as it removes the region’s advantages in statutory delegates it also at the same time present’s the region’s diminished LGAs, 95.